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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • Trevor Lawrence has averaged 3.9 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (75th percentile).
  • Trevor Lawrence has been a more important option in his team's running game this season (17.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (10.3%).
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's group of safeties has been dreadful this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 41.0% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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