My Account Log Out
 
 
Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a massive 12.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 6th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jaguars this year (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • In this contest, Trevor Lawrence is expected by the projection model to total the 3rd-most carries among all quarterbacks with 5.7.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars offensive scheme to lean 2.7% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with head coach Liam Coen now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects this game to chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.81 seconds per play accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee defensive tackles project as the 5th-best group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™