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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Jaguars are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • Trevor Lawrence has been a more integral piece of his team's running game this season (16.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.3%).
  • The Indianapolis defensive tackles profile as the 9th-worst DT corps in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to run on 40.1% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

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