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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Trevor Lawrence has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this year (16.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.3%).
  • The Denver defensive ends project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

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