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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
  • Trevor Lawrence has been much more involved in his team's running game this season (15.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 40.6% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are projected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Los Angeles defensive tackles grade out as the best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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