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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 8th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Texans safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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