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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs San Francisco 49ers

Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a whopping 60.5 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Trevor Lawrence to accumulate 4.4 carries in this contest, on average: the 7th-most out of all QBs.

Trevor Lawrence isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, taking on 14.6% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 39.6% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.

As it relates to run support (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Jaguars grades out as the 3rd-worst in football last year.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's LB corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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