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TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
TreVeyon Henderson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+138/-174).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +152 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.
  • The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see just 125.1 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (74.9%) vs. running backs this year (74.9%).
  • The Chargers defense has yielded the fewest receiving touchdowns in football to RBs: 0.00 per game this year.

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