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This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Patriots, who are a massive favorite by 13.5 points.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.This year, the poor New York Jets run defense has surrendered a colossal 1.20 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 6th-highest rate in the league.The New York Jets safeties profile as the 29th-worst group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.
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