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TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
TreVeyon Henderson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.
  • This year, the anemic Ravens defense has conceded a monstrous 0.21 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the 10th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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