My Account Log Out
 
 
TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
TreVeyon Henderson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the model to run just 61.8 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.
  • This year, the imposing Bills defense has yielded a mere 66.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-lowest rate in football.
  • This year, the shaky Buffalo Bills run defense has conceded a colossal 1.46 rushing touchdowns per game to the opposing side: the highest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Buffalo's safety corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™