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TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
TreVeyon Henderson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the feeble New York Giants defense has conceded a colossal 0.33 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing running backs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • This year, the poor Giants run defense has been torched for a massive 1.42 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the biggest rate in football.
  • The New York Giants safeties project as the 32nd-worst unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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