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The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.The model projects the Patriots to be the 3rd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.Opposing offenses have rushed for the most adjusted yards in football (166 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's LB corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.
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