reorder

TreVeyon Henderson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

TreVeyon Henderson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-127/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 136.5 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (93.6%) to RBs this year (93.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 56.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a measly 54.4 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the league.

More TreVeyon Henderson Player Props

TreVeyon Henderson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

TreVeyon Henderson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6