My Account Log Out
 
 
TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
TreVeyon Henderson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Bengals defense has given up the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (46.0) vs. RBs this year.
  • This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a monstrous 8.07 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™