TreVeyon Henderson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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TreVeyon Henderson

NFL · Player Props

TreVeyon Henderson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots · Week 10, 2025

Updated Nov 9, 2025 9:22 PM EST

Analysis

TreVeyon Henderson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
This year, the poor Buccaneers defense has surrendered a whopping 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the most in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (90.8%) to running backs this year (90.8%).

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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