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TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson Carries
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
TreVeyon Henderson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 45.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Las Vegas's unit has been exceptional last year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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