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Trenton Irwin

Trenton Irwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Trenton Irwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their downs: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Trenton Irwin to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack in this contest (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.2% in games he has played).
  • With an exceptional 75.7% Adjusted Catch% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Trenton Irwin rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.0 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.3%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (61.3%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

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