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Trenton Irwin

Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may drop.

The predictive model expects Trenton Irwin to be a more important option in his team's pass attack in this week's game (12.7% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (6.2% in games he has played).

With an impressive 77.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (90th percentile) last year, Trenton Irwin rates among the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.

Trenton Irwin grades out as one of the most efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a fantastic 10.68 adjusted yards-per-target last year while ranking in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a giant 9-point favorite in this week's contest.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have just 123.8 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Last year, the strong New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a feeble 4.1 YAC.

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