Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Trenton Irwin

NFL · Player Props

Trenton Irwin

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to start backup quarterback Jake Browning in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (67.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
While Trenton Irwin has garnered 7.1% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Cincinnati's passing attack this week at 13.2%.
Trenton Irwin's 41.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a noteable gain in his pass-catching talent over last year's 28.0 mark.
Trenton Irwin rates as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL, averaging an exceptional 9.27 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 76th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.
After totaling 31.0 air yards per game last season, Trenton Irwin has posted significant losses this season, currently sitting at 26.0 per game.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year.
This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered a mere 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 9th-best rate in football.
The Steelers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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