Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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NFL · Player Props

Trenton Irwin

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Trenton Irwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.6% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Trenton Irwin has notched far more air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (12.0 per game).
Trenton Irwin's 18.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 6.6.
Trenton Irwin has been among the most reliable receivers in the league, catching a terrific 72.3% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 76th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 8th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.