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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Trent Sherfield Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-3000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (58.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Broncos.
  • The model projects the Broncos to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's collection of DTs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 28.4 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to air yards, Trent Sherfield grades out in just the 19th percentile among wide receivers this year, with just 7.0 per game.
  • Trent Sherfield's 5.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the worst in football: 17th percentile for WRs.

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