|
Trent Sherfield Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-3000).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3000.
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (58.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Broncos.The model projects the Broncos to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's collection of DTs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
The Broncos are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 28.4 per game) this year.When it comes to air yards, Trent Sherfield grades out in just the 19th percentile among wide receivers this year, with just 7.0 per game.Trent Sherfield's 5.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the worst in football: 17th percentile for WRs.
|
|
|
|
|
|