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Trent Sherfield

Trent Sherfield Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Trent Sherfield Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-6750).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.7% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trent Sherfield has compiled a mere 0.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 6th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Trent Sherfield's 2.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) grades out among the worst in the league: 8th percentile for wide receivers.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the league versus the Eagles defense this year (60.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a feeble 0.75 passing touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

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