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Tre Tucker

Tre Tucker Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Tre Tucker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+530/-890).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -860 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -890.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a giant -14-point underdog this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (60.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Raiders.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • The Raiders O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • This year, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a meager 55.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the best rate in football.
  • This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has given up a measly 0.57 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-best rate in the league.

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