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Tre Tucker

Tre Tucker Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Tre Tucker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-435).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +370 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +365.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • With a 64.0% rate of passing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in football in these situations has been the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.37 seconds per play.
  • The Las Vegas O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in football against the Denver Broncos defense this year (64.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 0.33 per game this year.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Denver's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in football. in football.

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