My Account Log Out
 
 
Trayveon Williams

Trayveon Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Trayveon Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-2250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
  • With an exceptional 100.0% Adjusted Catch% (100th percentile) this year, Trayveon Williams places as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the league (0.67 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • While Trayveon Williams has received 0.0% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Cleveland's running game near the end zone this week at 11.2%.
  • While Trayveon Williams has earned 20.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Cleveland's offense near the end zone in this game at 8.5%.
  • As it relates to air yards, Trayveon Williams ranks in the paltry 4th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging just -4.0 per game.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™