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Trayveon Williams

Trayveon Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Trayveon Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+840/-1700).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • Among all RBs last year, Trayveon Williams ranks in the lowly 1st percentile for red zone carries, taking on 0.0% of the workload in his team's running game near the end zone.
  • The leading projections forecast Trayveon Williams to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack near the end zone in this week's contest (8.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (2.1% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
  • Trayveon Williams has put up a paltry -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 23rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

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