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Trayveon Williams

Trayveon Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Trayveon Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
  • With an exceptional 100.0% Adjusted Catch% (100th percentile) this year, Trayveon Williams places as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.
  • This year, the porous Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been torched for a massive 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 9th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • As it relates to air yards, Trayveon Williams ranks in the paltry 4th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging just -4.0 per game.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Trayveon Williams checks in as one of the bottom running backs in the league at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 4th percentile.

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