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Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Travis Kelce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 60.8% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chiefs are anticipated by the projection model to run 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average).

This week, Travis Kelce is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.9 targets.

The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite this week.

Travis Kelce has been much less involved in his team's pass attack this year (18.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (24.6%).

Travis Kelce's 4.9 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 6.1 rate.

The Houston Texans defensive ends rank as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

Travis Kelce ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Travis Kelce Receptions
Player Prop Week 14