My Account Log Out
 
 
Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to total 6.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Travis Kelce comes in as one of the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an outstanding 54.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 99th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Travis Kelce has run fewer routes this year (75.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (86.7%).
  • After totaling 59.0 air yards per game last season, Travis Kelce has been a disappointment this season, now pacing 31.0 per game.
  • Travis Kelce's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.53 mark last season.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™