Travis Kelce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

Travis Kelce

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2025

Updated Oct 13, 2025 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
This week, Travis Kelce is predicted by the model to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.3 targets.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.
Travis Kelce's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 74.7% to 80.3%.
Travis Kelce's 8.8 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a significant growth in his pass-catching ability over last year's 6.7 rate.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.
Travis Kelce's 16.7% Target Share this year illustrates a remarkable diminishment in his passing attack volume over last year's 24.6% rate.
Travis Kelce has put up far fewer air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (59.0 per game).
Travis Kelce has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (41.0) this season than he did last season (55.0).
Travis Kelce's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteworthy regression in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 3.5% rate.

More Travis Kelce Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow