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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-114/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

With an extraordinary 85.7% Route Participation% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Travis Kelce ranks as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Travis Kelce's 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a significant regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 74.7% mark.

Travis Kelce profiles as one of the bottom TEs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 18th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Giants pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a mere 3.1 YAC.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

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