Travis Kelce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 2, 2025

Updated Sep 14, 2025 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 65.5% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.2 plays per game.
With a top-tier 86.2% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Travis Kelce places as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.
Our trusted projections expect Travis Kelce to garner 8.0 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs.
In regards to air yards, Travis Kelce ranks in the lofty 99th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 57.0 per game.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
Travis Kelce rates as one of the weakest tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 2nd percentile.
The Eagles defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 34.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.
The Eagles pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. TEs since the start of last season, allowing 5.97 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.