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Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 60.8% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chiefs are anticipated by the projection model to run 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average).

This week, Travis Kelce is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.9 targets.

The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite this week.

Travis Kelce has been much less involved in his team's pass attack this year (18.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (24.6%).

After accumulating 59.0 air yards per game last year, Travis Kelce has seen a big decrease this year, now averaging 43.0 per game.

Travis Kelce's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.53 figure last year.

This year, the stout Texans defense has given up a feeble 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 5th-fewest in the league.

More Travis Kelce Player Props

Travis Kelce Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14