Travis Kelce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Travis Kelce

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2025

Updated Nov 16, 2025 9:27 PM EST

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-121/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
In this week's game, Travis Kelce is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.7 targets.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
Travis Kelce has been much less involved in his team's passing game this year (17.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (24.6%).
Travis Kelce has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (59.0 per game).
Travis Kelce's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a noteable decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 3.5% mark.
The Broncos pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.9%) vs. tight ends this year (63.9%).

More Travis Kelce Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow