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Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • In this week's game, Travis Kelce is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs with 9.6 targets.
  • Travis Kelce has totaled a massive 64.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Travis Kelce's 68.0% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a a noteworthy decline in his air attack volume over last season's 83.1% figure.
  • Travis Kelce's 71.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a a significant decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 80.0 mark.
  • Travis Kelce's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a mere 7.69 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.08 figure last year.
  • Travis Kelce's 4.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a a noteworthy decline in his effectiveness in space over last season's 5.5% rate.

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