Travis Kelce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Travis Kelce

NFL · Player Props

Travis Kelce

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Travis Kelce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
In this week's game, Travis Kelce is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs with 9.6 targets.
Travis Kelce has totaled a massive 64.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Travis Kelce's 68.0% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a a noteworthy decline in his air attack volume over last season's 83.1% figure.
Travis Kelce's 71.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a a significant decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 80.0 mark.
Travis Kelce's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a mere 7.69 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.08 figure last year.
Travis Kelce's 4.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a a noteworthy decline in his effectiveness in space over last season's 5.5% rate.

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