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Travis Homer Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears

Travis Homer Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+495/-620).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -750 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -620.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the poor Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has conceded a whopping 91.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

This year, the poor Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a monstrous 0.50 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 4th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

While Travis Homer has garnered 0.0% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Chicago's running game near the goal line in this week's contest at 11.7%.

Travis Homer has been not been very involved his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% last year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to RBs.

More Travis Homer Player Props

Travis Homer TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears

Travis Homer Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9