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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • With a remarkable 13.8% Red Zone Target% (88th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage near the end zone in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jaguars are projected by the projection model to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Travis Etienne has compiled a paltry -7.0 air yards per game this year: just 9th percentile among running backs.
  • Travis Etienne's 10.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 16.4.
  • Travis Etienne's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 77.0% to 72.7%.
  • Travis Etienne has rushed for 0.25 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (75th percentile).

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