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Travis Etienne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-146/+138).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -146.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in football.Travis Etienne has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 12.5% this year, which places him in the 86th percentile among RBs.Travis Etienne grades out in the 99th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.35 per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4-point advantage, the Jaguars are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.Travis Etienne has garnered 45.4% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.Travis Etienne has posted a mere -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 10th percentile among RBs.With a subpar 74.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (10th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs.
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