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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-106/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 59.8% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • Travis Etienne has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 12.5% this year, which places him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 51.8% rate of running the ball near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL in this regard has been the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The predictive model expects Travis Etienne to be a more important option in his team's running game near the goal line this week (57.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (46.8% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to air yards, Travis Etienne ranks in the lowly 9th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.
  • Travis Etienne's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 77.1% to 73.8%.
  • Travis Etienne has run for 0.44 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (86th percentile).

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