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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Last year, the poor Panthers run defense has allowed a staggering 190.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the most in the league.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's unit has been terrible last year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Liam Coen, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 37.9% run rate.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are projected by the projection model to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 11th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a lowly 54.6 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Travis Etienne to be a much smaller piece of his offense's ground game in this week's game (27.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (43.1% in games he has played).

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