Travis Etienne Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.49 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Jaguars as the 6th-quickest in the league (context-neutralized) right now.
The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
In this game, Travis Etienne is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 91st percentile among running backs with 16.6 carries.
After taking on 51.6% of his team's rush attempts last season, Travis Etienne has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, now comprising 64.7%.
Travis Etienne has picked up 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (89th percentile).

Favors Under

A passing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 39.6% of their chances: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
Travis Etienne's 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this season indicates a noteable drop-off in his running talent over last season's 5.1 rate.

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