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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-101/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-most run-centric team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 45.1% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game near the end zone this week (73.2% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (44.4% in games he has played).

Travis Etienne has run for 0.44 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (86th percentile).

The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.

Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-least TDs in the league (0.62 per game) against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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