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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 60.1% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Jaguars to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).
  • The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.7 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Travis Etienne's 11.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 16.4.
  • With a poor 75.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (18th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne stands as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.
  • The Rams pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.3%) to RBs this year (78.3%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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