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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Liam Coen, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 3.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 129.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The model projects Travis Etienne to accumulate 3.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Travis Etienne's 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 84th percentile for running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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