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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+124/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • The predictive model expects Travis Etienne to total 3.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • With an impressive 9.1% Target Rate (78th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne places as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • When it comes to safeties getting after the quarterback, Buffalo's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • Travis Etienne grades out as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among running backs, completing just 76.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 12th percentile.

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