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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
  • The model projects Travis Etienne to earn 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With an exceptional 9.2% Target Share (77th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne stands among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.
  • Travis Etienne rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among RBs, catching a measly 77.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 25th percentile.
  • This year, the imposing Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded a paltry 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 9th-best rate in the league.

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