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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Travis Etienne has run a route on 46.8% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Travis Etienne has been among the worst possession receivers in football among running backs, hauling in a measly 73.0% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 8th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have been faced with a stacked the box on just 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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