Travis Etienne Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Travis Etienne

NFL · Player Props

Travis Etienne

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Travis Etienne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Travis Etienne has run a route on 46.8% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

Travis Etienne has been among the worst possession receivers in football among running backs, hauling in a measly 73.0% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.
The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 8th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have been faced with a stacked the box on just 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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