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Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Liam Coen, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 3.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Right now, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 129.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

The model projects Travis Etienne to accumulate 3.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Travis Etienne's 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 84th percentile for running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Travis Etienne has accrued a paltry -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 25th percentile among RBs.

The Texans pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, surrendering 5.77 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in the league.

More Travis Etienne Player Props

Travis Etienne Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3