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Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Travis Etienne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Liam Coen, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
  • When talking about air yards, Travis Etienne grades out in the lofty 82nd percentile among RBs last year, accruing a remarkable 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • Travis Etienne's 16.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for RBs.
  • The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are projected by the projection model to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 11th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a lowly 54.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Panthers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.9 per game) last year.
  • With a weak 77.2% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) last year, Travis Etienne ranks among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among RBs.

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